Within the Arab context, two questions normally arise when addressing the issue of economic integration in the Arab world: Why would rich states agree to integrate with poor ones, and what would be the economic benefit from this integration? The failure to adequately and practically address such an issue was one of the main reasons behind the demise of the Arab nationalism project, despite its rhetoric of creating one single Arab state that would integrate the region’s economies for the benefit of all.
Difficulties with such a scenario fall between structures and policies. The structure factor refers to the disparities in economic power and population and the similarities of modes of production; while the policies factor refers to political conflict of interests and international influences on individual states through bilateral agreements. In terms of GDP, GDP per capita and population (see tables 1 to 3), the GDP of Saudi Arabia is 250 times that of Mauritania, the GDP per capita of Qatar is 90 times that of Mauritania, and the population of Egypt is almost 100 times that of Qatar. Modes of production (labour intensive) and composition of foreign trade are similar. The Gulf countries, because of the oil factor, are more vulnerable to foreign influence. Kuwait has kept its currency based on the US dollar, while others made currency baskets, Oman has opted out for the time being from the process of a unified Gulf custom union, signing a free trade agreement with the US. Several Arab countries, including Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt and Jordan, have also signed partnership agreements with the EU, which provide for preferential treatment for their products.
Table 1
GDP in 2004
in US Dollars in millions Table 2
GDP per capita 2004
in US Dollars Table 3
Population 2004
in millions
Mauritania 1,345.6 Mauritania 451 Qatar 0.67
Bahrain 11,066.5 Yemen 620 Bahrain 0.71
Jordan 11,514.4 Sudan 655 Oman 2.26
Yemen 12,908.0 Egypt 1,143 Kuwait 2.65
Lebanon 19,754.0 Iraq 1,242 Mauritania 2.99
Sudan 22,019.3 Syria 1,307 Lebanon 3.87
Syria 23,501.0 Morocco 1,636 Emirates 4.37
Oman 24,824.4 Jordan 2,163 Jordan 5.32
Libya 27,608.8 Algeria 2,411 Libya 6.42
Qatar 28,451.4 Tunisia 2,946 Tunisia 9.93
Tunisia 29,252.4 Libya 4,300 Syria 17.98
Iraq 33,700.0 Lebanon 5,108 Yemen 20.83
Morocco 50,031.0 Oman 10,965 Saudi Arabia 22.53
Kuwait 55,721.5 Saudi Arabia 11,122 Iraq 27.14
Egypt 78,491.8 Bahrain 15,631 Morocco 30.58
Algeria 84,799.8 Kuwait 21,067 Sudan 33.60
Emirates 103,832.5 Emirates 23,771 Algeria 35.17
Saudi Arabia 250,558.3 Qatar 42,656 Egypt 68.65
Source: Arab Monetary Fund, Economic Indicators, 2005
Fiscal and asymmetrical federalism could provide a framework and mechanisms for dealing with such disparities, which are also common to other federal systems. Germany has one large central pool for all incoming revenues. Out of this central pool, the federal government makes its distribution to Länder governments. However, because the latter are highly represented in the federal decision-making structure and are responsible for the implementation of policies, they can greatly influence which policies are adopted and how these are carried out. Western Australia wanted to secede from the Commonwealth in 1932, because of the high burden it carried in financing other poorer states since the establishment of the Federation in 1901. The matter was only resolved after the Federal Government made generous concessions. Provinces in Canada get their funding as a percentage of the national tax, and they have more freedom in designing and implementing programs than their German counterparts. The Arab states’ disparity in wealth and population could also be translated, within an Arab federal union, into asymmetrical representation, veto power, more control of natural resources, different taxation systems and social benefits, opt-in or opt-out or time bound restrictions.
The arguments for the economic benefits from a federal union could be traced back to the Federalist. Hamilton, in Federalist No. 11, 12 and 13, outlines the basic utility of the Union in commerce, revenue and taxation, and the need for a strong Union Navy to protect American trade routes, ships and interests. By creating a Union, Hamilton argues, “we may oblige foreign countries to bid against each other, for the privileges of our markets,” and “Commercial enterprises will have much greater scope from the diversity in the productions of different States. When the staple of one fails from a bad harvest or unproductive crop, it can call to its aid the staple of another. The variety, not less than the value, of products for exportation contributes to the activity of foreign commerce. It can be conducted upon much better terms with a large number of materials of a given value than with a small number of materials of the same value.”
Other benefits include the harmonization of government policies, reduction of bureaucratic administrative costs, diversification of productions, and internal equalization. The UNDP Arab Human Development Report 2002, citing high population growth rates, rising unemployment, and modest economic growth coupled with increasingly intense competition from emerging markets in Eastern Europe, Latin America, and Asia, has identified regional economic cooperation as essential for national regional development. The following paragraph best illustrates the UNDP approach to economic development in the region: “No Arab country alone can adequately achieve dramatic social and economic progress based on diversification of sources of income and acquisition of competitive capabilities in the fields of accumulated knowledge and industry. However, by coming together, Arab countries can reap the benefits of size and scale, diversify their combined economies, and open up opportunities for investment that would be unavailable in the absence of coordinated efforts and cooperation”.
All the preceding arguments have been used in the Arab context, but more on ideological grounds than as a functional approach to fit the Arab nationalism project. The success of European economic integration, despite two World Wars, presents a sharp contrast to the failure of the Arabs to do the same, and adds another practical incentive in the age of regional economic blocks. However, some doubt the feasibility of modeling Arab economic integration on the European model.
Whether or not federalism is conducive to economic development in the developing world is an open question, but what is clear is that while Arab nationalism, because of its centralist tendency, has failed to accommodate the disparities between Arab states, the Arab League, because of its weakness, has also failed to coordinate regional cooperation, development and integration plans. Federalism, with its ability to accommodate diversity and with the fiscal and asymmetrical tools available to it could provide a more successful framework.
Economic Development and Integration in the Arab World
- Borderless Debate
Additional Info
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Autore:
Hazem Hanafi
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Titolo:
Researcher of the Arab Foundation for Federal Studies, MA in Comparative Federalism, University of Kent
Published in
Year XXII, Number 3, November 2009
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